The Israeli government has warned that the Hamas group will be given a 60-day deadline to disarm and hand over its arsenal, under the threat that the Israel Defense Forces (IDF) will resume large-scale operations to "complete" the military mission in the Gaza Strip. Security analysts warn that a "total" disarmament within tight deadlines often clashes with territorial and political realities: without strong incentives and credible guarantees, groups tend to retain minimal capabilities or transfer them to parallel structures. The debate over what would happen if the deadline expires without results has also been reignited. In Gaza, this challenge is multiplied by the underground network, the clandestine circulation of weapons, the fragmentation of command, and the existence of other armed factions. In practice, this could mean a new high-intensity campaign with considerable humanitarian and political costs and a direct impact on ongoing negotiations. From the Israeli perspective, the goal is to prevent Hamas from retaining weapons—including those considered "light"—and maintaining an operational structure capable of regrouping. This signal, transmitted by a senior official in the entourage of Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, comes amid strong international diplomatic pressure to consolidate a regional stabilization and security framework, and amid indirect negotiations that have so far failed to break the core of the conflict: who controls Gaza, with what guarantees, and under what conditions Hamas's military capabilities are dismantled. The warning was issued by Israeli Cabinet Secretary Yossi Fuchs, who linked the two-month deadline to the need to achieve a verifiable process of total disarmament. The Israeli message was explicit: the IDF would advance to complete military objectives. The Palestinian movement maintains that the debate on weapons cannot be separated from the political horizon, the lifting of restrictions, and a future governance formula that would not, in practice, mean a unilateral surrender. Various channels—with the participation of the United States and regional mediators—are working to channel a transition framework that includes civilian administration, reconstruction mechanisms, and a security scheme that reduces Hamas's capacity to attack. Parallel to indirect contacts, episodes of violence, mutual accusations of non-compliance, and an accelerated deterioration of the humanitarian situation persist.
